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Winston Churchill on America’s Presidential Selection Methodology

Biot Report #630: June 29, 2009 Printer Printer Friendly

Sir Winston Churchill (1874-1965)--whose mother Jennie Jerome (Lady Randolph Churchill) was an American--was First Lord of the Admiralty of Great Britain from October 1911 to May 1915. The British declared war on Germany on August 4, 1914, after the German Imperial Government refused to respect the neutrality of Belgium, invading it as the opening salvo on the Western Front. Thus began World War I from the perspective of the British, with Churchill at the political and strategic helm of the British Navy.

     

    Winston Churchill in the 1910s. Source: http://images.google.com/hosted/life/f?q=winston+churchill+admiralty&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dwinston%2Bchurchill%2Badmiralty%26hl%3Den%26rls%3Dcom.microsoft:*:IE-SearchBox%26rlz%3D1I7ADBF%26sa%3DN%26um%3D1&imgurl=ab9627143e49430a; accessed June 29, 2009.

     

    President Woodrow Wilson. Source: http://www.janleighton.com/index_new16_1280_p2.html; accessed June 29, 2009.

President Woodrow Wilson (1856-1921), a Democrat and liberal academic who had been sworn into his first term of office on March 4, 1913, after winning only 42% of the popular vote (but an electoral landslide) against two former Presidents (Theodore Roosevelt [1901-1909] and William Howard Taft [1909-1913]), watched the onset of war blandly. He was resolute about the U.S. remaining neutral during the “European conflict” and, when aroused, wagged his finger at both Allied Powers and Central Powers for their mutual naval blockades, which conflicted with the rules of naval war and interrupted America’s commerce with both sides. The United States was basically unarmed (National Guardsmen totaling around 100,000 soldiers), so its entry into the conflict would have demanded huge changes.   

For three years, from August 4, 1914, to August 7, 1917, the Allied Powers fought the Central Powers on sea and on land, resulting in millions of dead, wounded, and missing soldiers on both sides of the conflict. The existing data for military casualties (but not civilian casualties) is in the table below. It is a fair reflection of the scale of losses, country by country (1): 

Country

Dead

Wounded

Missing

Total

Africa

10,000

-

-

10,000

Australia

58,150

152,170

-

210,320

Austria-Hungary

922,000

3,600,000

855,283

5,377,283

Belgium

44,000

450,000

-

494,000

Britain

658,700

2,032,150

359,150

3,050,000

Bulgaria

87,500

152,390

27,029

266,919

Canada

56,500

149,700

-

206,200

Caribbean

1,000

3,000

-

4,000

France

1,359,000

4,200,000

361,650

5,920,650

Germany

1,600,000

4,065,000

103,000

5,768,000

Greece

5,000

21,000

1,000

27,000

India

43,200

65,175

5,875

114,250

Italy

689,000

959,100

-

1,424,660

Japan

300

907

3

1,210

Montenegro

3,000

10,000

7,000

20,000

New Zealand

16,130

40,750

-

56,880

Portugal

7,222

13,751

12,318

33,291

Romania

335,706

120,000

80,000

535,706

Russia

1,700,000

5,000,000

-

6,700,000

Serbia

45,000

133,148

152,958

331,106

South Africa

7,000

12,000

-

19,000

Turkey

250,000

400,000

-

650,000

USA

58,480

189,955

14,290

262,725

When, on August 2, 1917, President Wilson finally requested that the U.S. Congress declare war on Germany, which it did on August 7, 1917, Churchill was dumbfounded. In his book titled The World Crisis, 1911-1918, he writes,

American historians will perhaps be somewhat lengthy in explaining to posterity exactly why the United States entered the Great War on April 6, 1917, and why they did not enter at any earlier moment. American ships had been sunk before by German submarines; as many American lives were lost in the Lusitania as in all the five American ships whose sinking immediately preceded the declaration of war. As for the general cause of the Allies, if it was good in 1917, was it not equally good in 1914? There were plenty of reasons of high policy for staying out in 1917 after waiting so long.

It was natural that the Allies, burning with indignation against Germany, breathless and bleeding in the struggle, face to face with mortal dangers, should stand amazed at the cool, critical, detached attitude of the great Power across the Atlantic [the U.S.]. In England particularly, where laws and language seemed to make a bridge of mutual comprehension between the two nations, the American abstention was hard to understand. But this was to do less than justice to important factors in the case. (2)

Churchill posits two factors for the United States’ decision to remain neutral for three years: 1) it did not feel any immediate danger and 2) the way Americans choose their Presidents.

In the first instance (felt no immediate danger), Churchill writes,

The United States did not feel in any immediate danger. Time and distance interposed their minimizing perspectives. The mass of the people engaged in peaceful industry, grappling with the undeveloped resources of the continent which was their inheritance, absorbed in domestic life and politics, taught by long constitutional tradition to shun foreign entanglements, had an entirely different field of mental interest from that of Europe. World Justice makes it appeal to all men. But what share, it was asked, had Americans taken in bringing about the situation which had raised the issue of World Justice? Was even this issue so simple as it appeared to the Allies? Was it not a frightful responsibility to launch a vast, unarmed, remote community [the U.S.] into the raging centre of such a quarrel? That all this was overcome is the real wonder. All honour to those who never doubted, and who from the first discerned the inevitable path. (2)

In the second instance (method of choosing Presidents), Churchill bellows,

The rigid Constitution of the United States, the gigantic scale and strength of its party machinery, the fixed terms for which public officers and representatives are chosen, invest the President with a greater measure of autocratic power than was possessed before the war by the Head of any great State. The vast size of the country, the diverse types, interests and environments of its enormous population, the safety-valve function of the legislatures of fifty Sovereign States, make the focusing of national public opinion difficult, and confer upon the Federal Government exceptional independence of it except at fixed election times. Few modern Governments need to concern themselves so little with the opinion of the party they have beaten at the polls; none secures to its supreme executive officer, at once the Sovereign and the Party Leader, such direct personal authority.

The accident of hereditary succession which brings a King or Emperor to the throne occurs on the average at intervals of a quarter of a century. During this long period, as well as in his whole life before accession, the qualities and disposition of the monarch can be studied by his subjects, and during this period parties and classes are often able to devise and create checks and counter-checks upon personal action. In limited monarchies where the responsibilities of power are borne by the Prime Minister, the choice of the nation usually falls upon Statesmen who have lived their lives in the public eye, who are moreover members of the Legislature and continuously accountable to it for their tenure.

But the magnitude and the character of the electoral processes of the United States make it increasingly difficult, if not indeed already impossible, for any life-long politician to become a successful candidate for the Presidency. The choice of the party managers tends more and more to fall upon eminent citizens of high personal character and civic virtue who have not mingled profoundly in politics or administration, and who in consequence are free from the animosities and the errors which such combative an anxious experiences involve. More often than not the champion selected for the enthusiasms and ideals of tens of millions is unversed in State affairs, and raised suddenly to dazzling pre-eminence on the spur of the moment. The war-stained veterans of the party battle select, after many fierce internal convulsions, a blameless and honourable figure to bear aloft the party standard. They manufacture his programme and his policy, and if successful in the battle install him for four years at the summit of the State, clothed thenceforward with direct executive functions which practical importance are not surpassed on the globe.

Then Churchill sharply critiques President Wilson’s sometimes inexplicable behaviors during his two terms in office:

Like all brief generalizations upon great matters, the foregoing paragraph is subject to numerous and noteworthy exceptions. But President Wilson was not one of them. In all his strength and in all his weakness, in his nobility and in his foibles, he was, in spite of his long academic record and brief governorship [two years, 1911-1913] an unknown, an unmeasured quantity to the mighty people who made him their ruler in 1912. Still more was he a mystery to the world at large. Writing with every sense of respect, it seems no exaggeration to pronounce that the action of the United States with its repercussions on the history of the world depended, during the awful period of Armageddon, upon the workings of this man’s mind and spirit to the exclusion of almost every other factor; and that he played a part in the fate of nations incomparably more direct and personal than any other man.

    President Woodrow Wilson and his family. Source: http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2202/2163130823_f2048ebf6a_o.jpg; accessed June 29, 2009.

It is in this light that the Memoirs of Colonel House [senior policy advisor to Wilson] acquire their peculiar interest. In these pages we see a revelation of the President. Dwelling in the bosom of his domestic circle [wife and three daughters] with the simplicity and frugality of [Russian Tsar] Nicholas II, inaccessible except to friends and servitors—and very sparingly to them—towering above Congress, the Cabinet his mere implement, untempered and undinted in the smithy of public life, and guided by that “frequent recurrence to first principles” enjoined in the American Constitution, Woodrow Wilson, the inscrutable and undecided judge upon whose lips the lives of millions hung, stands forth a monument for human meditation.

     

    1912 Democratic National Convention at the Fifth Regiment Armory, Baltimore, Maryland, June 26-July2, 1912. Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/library_of_congress/2809097282/; accessed June 29, 2009.

     

    Democratic National Convention at the Fifth Regiment Armory, Baltimore, Maryland, June 26-July2, 1912. Source: http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2202/2163130823_f2048ebf6a_o.jpg; accessed June 29, 2009.

First and foremost, all through and last, he was a Party man. His dominating loyalty was to the great political association which had raised him to the Presidency, and on whose continued prosperity he was sincerely convinced the best interests of mankind depended. We see him in the height of the American war effort, when all that the Union could give without distinction of class or party was lavished upon the Government of the day, using his natural position without scruple or apparent self-examination to procure the return to Congress of only those representatives whose names were on the Democratic ticket. Under his regime there were none of those temporary sacrifices of party rancor which were forced on European countries by their perils. The whole power and prestige of the American nation at war was politically impounded so far as possible by the office holders of the day and the party machine. This bred a hatred among political opponents whose sons were fighting, whose money was poured out, whose patriotism was ardent, which as soon as the fighting stopped, proved fatal to President Wilson and his hopes [Wilson’s League of Nations floundered in the U.S]. Next he was a good American, an academic Liberal, and a sincere hater of war and violence. Upon these easily harmonized impulsions there had fallen in intense interplay such of the stresses of the European war as rolled across the Atlantic, and all the internal pressures of American policy. He was confronted with four separate successive questions which searched his nature to its depths. How to keep the United States out of the war? How to win the Presidential election of 1916? How to help the Allies to win the war? And lastly, How to rule the world at its close?

     

    Germans pour into Belgium, expecting to quickly pass through the country in order to invade neighboring, August 1914. Source: http://www.historyplace.com/worldhistory/firstworldwar/ger-pour-belgium.htm; accessed June 29, 2009.

     

    Belgian refugees arrive in Paris after German soldiers invaded Belgium, August 1914. Source: http://www.historyplace.com/worldhistory/firstworldwar/ger-occupied-belgium.htm; accessed June 29, 2009.

He would have been greatly helped in his task if he had reached a definite conclusion where in the European struggle Right lay. Events like the German march through Belgium, or the sinking of the Lusitania, had a meaning which was apparent to friend and foe. They both proclaimed the intention to use force without any limit of forbearance to an absolute conclusion. Such a prospect directly affected the interests and indeed the safety of the United States. The victory of Germany and the concomitant disappearance of France and the British Empire as great Powers must, after an uncertain interval, have left the peaceful and unarmed population of the United States nakedly exposed to the triumph of the doctrine of Force without limit. The Teutonic Empires in the years following their victory would have been far stronger by land and sea than the United States. They could easily have placed themselves in a more favorable relationship with Japan than was open to the United States. In such a situation their views upon the destinies of South America could not have been effectively resisted. Immense developments of armed force would in any case have been required in the United States, and sooner or later a new conflict must have arisen in which the United States would have found herself alone.

     

    Royal Merchant Ship Lusitania in New York City: broadside view, maiden voyage, 1907. Source: http://www.old-picture.com/american-history-1900-1930s/pictures/LUSITANIA-broadside.jpg; accessed June 29, 2009.

     

    Coffins in a mass grave for some of those who died on the Lusitania, Queenstown, Ireland. Source: http://www.maritimequest.com/liners/lusitania_page_7.htm; accessed June 29, 2009.

President Wilson did not however during the first two and a half years of the war allow his mind to dwell upon the German use of force without restraint, and still less upon the ultimate consequences of its success. He did not therefore feel that American interests were involved from the outset in the European struggle. He distrusted and repressed those sentiments of indignation which the scenes in Belgium and the sinking of the Lusitania aroused in his breast. He did not truly divine the instinct of the American people. He under-estimated the volume and undervalued the quality of the American feeling in favour of the Allies. Not until he was actually delivering his famous war message to Congress did he understand where, in the vast medley of American opinion, the dominant will-power of the nation lay and had always lain. Not until then did he move forward with confidence and conviction; not until then did he restate the cause of the Allies in terms unsurpassed by any of their own statesmen; not until then did he reveal to the American people where in his judgment world-right was founded and how their own lives and material interests were at stake…

Step by step the President had been pursued and brought to bay. By slow merciless degrees, against his dearest hopes, against his gravest doubts, against his deepest inclinations, in stultification of all he had said and done and left undone in thirty months of carnage, he was forced to give the signal he dreaded and abhorred. Throughout he had been beneath the true dominant note of American sentiment. He had behind his policy a reasoned explanation and massive argument, and all must respect the motives of a statesman who seeks to spare his country the waste and horrors of war. But nothing can reconcile what he said after March, 1917, with the guidance he had given before. What he did in April, 1917, could have been done in May, 1915. And if done then what abridgement of the slaughter; what sparing of the agony; what ruin, what catastrophes would have been prevented; in how many million homes would an empty chair be occupied today; how different would be the shattered world in which victors and vanquished alike are condemned to live!...

     

    On April 2, 1917, President Woodrow Wilson asked Congress for a declaration of war against Germany. Congress declared war on April 6, 1917. Source: http://www.usmarshals.gov/history/ww1/ww1.htm; accessed June 29, 2009.

     

    American soldiers with wounded, World War I. Source: http://www.old-picture.com/american-history-1900-1930s/Trenches-German-World-War.htm; accessed June 29, 2009.

From the Atlantic to the Pacific the call was answered and obeyed. Iron laws of compulsory service, reinforced by social pressures of mutual discipline in which the great majority of the population took part, asserted an instantaneous unity of opinion. No one stood against the torrent. Pacifism, indifference, dissent, were swept from the path and fiercely pursued to extermination; and with a roar of slowly gathered, pent-up wrath which overpowered in its din every discordant yell, the American nation sprang to arms. (3)

    Armistice, November 11, 1918, England. Source: http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3212/2455322567_5e8247ed9d_o.jpg; accessed June 29, 2009.

Notes:

  1. Source of data: Firstworldwar.com, available at http://www.firstworldwar.com/features/casualties.htm; accessed June 29, 2009.
  2. Winton Churchill: The World Crisis, 1911-1918. New York: Free Press, 2005, p. 692. Originally published by Charles Scribner’s Sons in 1931.
  3. Ibid, pp. 693-697.